FeedPosted Oct 22nd 2009 7:30AM by David Schepp (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the bell, Earnings reports, eBay (EBAY), AT and T (T), Black and Decker (BDK), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Chubb Corp (CB), Chipotle Mexican Grill'A' (CMG), Economic data, Bunge Ltd. (BG)

Despite largely positive corporate earnings reports, investor caution has set upon Wall Street. For the third straight day stocks are set to move into negative territory, with futures showing the three major U.S. indexes heading lower ahead of Thursday's opening bell.
Some blamed Wednesday's near 1% drops in the Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 on a late-day sell-off driven by the latest
Beige Book survey from the Federal Reserve that showed the economy is ever so slowly emerging from recession -- too slowly, it would seem, for investors.
Continue reading Before the bell: Investors' caution reigns amid earnings season
Posted Jan 16th 2009 1:32PM by Jamie Dlugosch (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Brazil, Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Bargain stocks, Commodities, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Recession, Financial Crisis
With banking stocks getting crushed in the first few trading days of 2009, is there anywhere to hide?
For those looking to buy stocks, I provided a list of Top 10 Stocks for 2009. You won't find any financial stocks on the list.
Instead, I targeted a few themes that I believed would do well for varying reasons. One theme that I am particularly keen on is agriculture.
In a world that is full of fraud, bank collapses and historically low interest rates, I want to have some defense in any long recommendation.
The thing that makes agriculture so attractive is that the hedge fund maniacs turned this once boring space into the thrill ride of a lifetime. After a roller-coaster year, many great names in the space can be had for cheap prices.
One of the names on the list just got a whole lot cheaper.
Continue reading Don't get down on the farm -- Archer Daniels is a great buy
Posted Jan 14th 2009 8:16AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Deals, Yahoo! (YHOO), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Amazon.com (AMZN), Citigroup Inc. (C), Morgan Stanley (MS), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Anglo American (AAUKY), Bunge Ltd. (BG)
Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) announced Tuesday it had
hired Carol Bartz, former Autodesk CEO, as its new CEO. Already from the start, her style and address were apparently different from her predecessor's. Yahoo also said President Sue Decker will resign after a transitional period. YHOO shares gained over 2% in premarket trading.
Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) warned of a fourth-quarter loss of some $6.4 billion, mostly due to poor performance in its credit business but also because of some equity trading losses. It expects to have further write-downs on its exposure to bond insurers. DB shares were nearly 10% lower in premarket trade.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) and
Citigroup (NYSE: C) late Tuesday announced their plan for a
brokerage joint venture. Citi sold to Morgan a 51% stake in its Smith Barney unit for $2.7 billion. When the deal closes, Citi said it will recognize a gain of roughly $5.8 billion after taxes. There were no real surprises there. With that, Citi, which has become a financial supermarket, is now seen as trying to save its core banking unit by
shrinking itself by one-third, according to the
Wall Street Journal, which also reported that "Citi will also announce steps to shed two consumer-finance units and the company's private-label credit-card business, and scale back on the trading the company does on its own behalf." MS shares were over 3% lower in premarket trading, Citi' over 4.5% lower.
Continue reading Stocks in the news: YHOO, DB, MS, C, BG, HBC, PFE, ORCL, SI ...
Posted Jan 12th 2009 3:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), China, Reliance Steel and Aluminum (RS), Valero Energy (VLO), Huaneng Power Intl ADS (HNP), Chasing Value, Commodities, Oil, Anglo American (AAUKY), DJIA, Stocks to Buy, Newcastle Investment (NCT), Raytheon Company (RTN), Best Stocks for 2008, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Loews Corporation (L), NASDAQ,

I made it through mid-year of tracking my 2008 picks from last December and then --
Wham! -- I went from a slight advantage to being humbled badly by the market. However difficult it is to display your failings, once again I will share all of the horrors since I posted the original story
Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008.
The master is
still the master, Warren Buffett and his life's work
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:
BRK.B) beat me easily as well as the three indices I tracked.
For the most part, unless you started shorting stocks, there was no place to hide and most of my picks were big losers. There were two that beat Buffett and the market. The defense sector was the defensive sector it was supposed to be with
Raytheon Company (NYSE:
RTN) doing well on a relative scale. The other place you could have a morsel of stability was utilities and
Huaneng Power International (ADR) (NYSE:
HNP) lost less but not by much.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2008 picks -- the last nail
Posted Dec 3rd 2008 3:20PM by Todd Harrison (RSS feed)
Filed under: Commodities, Oil, Technology, Green Stocks, Bunge Ltd. (BG)
This post was writtenby Minyanville contributor Ryan Krueger.
Looks like Verasun Energy Corp. (NYSE: VSE), a formerly popular ethanol stock and second largest producer, has won court permission to cancel contracts signed to purchase corn. It is now in bankruptcy. I'm also hearing about a lot of excess ethanol funded by your tax dollars being sold to other countries. That worked out well.
The mistaken policy and debates are endless, the trades are what I am chewing on instead. I think consumers of corn at lower prices are set up for some awfully tasty '09 comparisons for their bottom lines. Corn Products International, Inc. (NYSE: CPO), after Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) backed away from its take-over, is a name I have re-entered from the long side after closing out my position just after the non-merger was announced and shares traded twice what they are now. They sweeten something you'll eat or drink in the next hour.
Longer term, however, I am even more interested in the ingredients, not the end products. But it's still early. I have been long gone from 2008 corn contracts for quite some time, but am starting to poke around out on the futures curve. On the same day this court ruling was announced abolishing artificial demand, quiet real demand emerged as Mexico was a big buyer of corn.
I'll take a few billion eaters over several million drivers any day.
Posted Aug 14th 2008 1:53PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Chasing Value, Agriculture, Best Stocks for 2008, Bunge Ltd. (BG)
Analysts have been negative on the agri-business processing sector recently, but the stocks have been shedding value for two months and they may have to reconsider. Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) is delivering 42% growth according to Smart Money.
The stock is down 16% from my original post recommending it for 2008 and it is trading down more this morning. However, I have not changed my opinion about the prospects of the company and my original rational has remained solid despite the wild swings in the stock over the past few months.
Last year when I posted Serious Money: ADM, Bunge, Potash Corp. -- it's a hungry world it looked like there was no downside, and even though it is disappointing to see the stock down now, all I can say is the investment opportunity is even better. As they are a leading producer of soy and soy products, how can one resist this level of growth at a P/E of 8, half the market average?
Continue reading Chasing Value: 40% growth, P/E 8 -- Bunge Ltd.
Posted Aug 14th 2008 12:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Reliance Steel and Aluminum (RS), Valero Energy (VLO), Huaneng Power Intl ADS (HNP), Chasing Value, Oil, Anglo American (AAUKY), S and P 500, DJIA, Newcastle Investment (NCT), Raytheon Company (RTN), Best Stocks for 2008, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Loews Corporation (L), NASDAQ
Continue reading Chasing Value: 8 stocks for 2008 -- June/July, that sinking feeling
Posted Jul 7th 2008 1:27PM by Kevin Kersten (RSS feed)
Filed under: Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Mexico, Deere and Co (DE), Politics, Commodities, Agriculture, Green Stocks, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)
We had the internet bubble and the real estate bubble and now, there is the ethanol bubble. Recently, I ran some numbers on ethanol and to my amazement realized that it is – too use a catch phrase from the environmental world -- not sustainable. Turning food into fuel is just plain silly; and when oil prices come down the ethanol bubble could pop big.
I ran did a little research and found some numbers:
- 47% of the Mexician' diet is corn
- it takes 2.4 pounds of corn a day to feed a hungry person
- it takes 22 pounds of corn to make one gallon of ethanol
- there are 42 gallons of refined gas in one barrel of oil
Now, a little basic math can be very enlightening. To replace one barrel of oil, it takes 42 gallons of ethanol or (42x22)=924 pounds of corn. That is enough corn to feed one hungry person for (924/2.4) 385 days – a little more than one year.
Continue reading World food shortage and the ethanol bubble
Posted Jun 23rd 2008 9:45AM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Coca-Cola (KO), Bunge Ltd. (BG)
In the agricultural sector, it's been nirvana for investors. But are prices too high?
Perhaps not. Take Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG), which is a major fertilizer and oilseed producer. Bunge has agreed to pay $4.4 billion for Corn Products International Inc. (NYSE: CPO), a producer of finished corn products. Some of its customers include biggies like Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO). This is a stock-for-stock deal. In other words, why not take advantage of the high market caps?
Both companies have rich histories. Corn Products got its start in 1906 and Bunge was founded in 1818. But it's the future that matters, and Bunge is certainly bullish on the global growth trends in the agricultural markets. To take advantage of this, it makes sense to bulk up. Corn Products will expand Bunge's offerings as well as provide some diversification.
In fact, Bunge also raised its full-year 2008 earnings forecast from $7.10-$7.40 to $9.35-$9.65. This doesn't even include the impact of the Corn Products transaction.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook
and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements
. He also operates MergerBook.com.
Posted Jun 23rd 2008 8:05AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the bell, Deals, Market matters, Citigroup Inc. (C), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Oil, Agriculture, Federal Reserve, Bunge Ltd. (BG)

U.S. stock futures were higher early Monday as a recovery from Friday's selloff seemed in the cards. Oil, which will continue to be in focus alleviated some pressure as it came off highs, and several deals also gave boost to stocks. The Federal Reserve is due to have a two-day policy meeting starting Tuesday. Most investors expect the Fed to keep its key federal funds rate unchanged but change the focus, or give more weight to inflation.
U.S. stocks fell sharply Friday as oil prices climbed once again and financials continued to be in the headlines. The Dow industrials tumbled 220 points, or 1.83%, for a weekly loss of 3.7%. The Dow closed below 12,000 at 11,482.69, a three-moth low. The S&P 500 dropped nearly 25 points, or 1.85%, Friday and 3.1% last week. The Nasdaq Composite, with the same weekly decline, fell nearly 56 points, or 2.27%, Friday.
Without any economic readings out today, the market will undoubtedly focus on oil. Despite
Saudi Arabia saying Sunday it will produce more crude this year if the market needs it, oil prices rose overnight as the promise was kept vague enough for any concrete relief.
Continue reading Before the bell: Wall Street set to rebound boosted by deals
Posted Jun 20th 2008 3:17PM by Eliza Popescu (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Consumer experience, Competitive strategy, Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Economic data, Deere and Co (DE), Commodities, Agriculture, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)

When natural disasters happen, there are always some companies that can turn the circumstances in their favor. Recent downpours in the Midwest provided such an opportunity as they came not only with high damages for people in the area, but also with floods for crop production, causing even higher agricultural commodity prices. The rise in corn and soybeans prices could easily lead to an increased demand for seeds, agricultural equipment, and fertilizers.
BusinessWeek suggests some big names to invest in that could offer us the advantages we are looking for.
One such company is
Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE:
ADM), which could also benefit from higher ethanol prices, after purchasing seven businesses in 2007.
Bunge Limited (NYSE:
BG) is also amid possible winners, having forecast better-than-expected fertilizer earnings. Shell eggs producer
Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:
CALM) is also on the selected list; the company saw its shares climb 15% year to date, and has just revealed a new dividend payout policy.
Another important name is
Mosaic Co. (NYSE:
MOS), whose stock prices have surged 70% so far this year.
BusinessWeek cites Mosaic as being able to benefit from higher prices for fertilizer and potash. Following the same logic, the article points out potash provider
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE:
POT) and fertilizer distributor
CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:
CF), which should be able to take advantage of the weak dollar and higher sales prices.
Continue reading Some agricultural stocks to consider from BusinessWeek
Posted Jun 11th 2008 1:45PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, International markets, Rants and raves, Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Oil, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT), Loews Corporation (L), Precision Drilling TR (PDS)
The stock market is in turmoil today and the reasons can be found elsewhere (including in some peoples' imaginations). But if you are a bottom line investor, then here is where you should be looking. Food and energy exploration are the places to be.
Things can change rapidly, but as of right now food related stocks like Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG), the largest company involved with soy based products, and Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT), the largest fertilizer company, are up.
In the exploration sector, Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC), the oil, gas and exploration company, Loews Corporation (NYSE: LTR), which is the majority shareholder in Diamond Offshore Drilling and is separating from its tobacco interests, and Precision Drilling TR (NYSE: PDS), the Canadian contract driller that is expanding into the lower 48 states, are all up.
All five stocks have out performed the market this year and that trend does not seem to be in jeopardy yet.
I will update this post with final results after the market close to see how the story ends.
UPDATE: four of the five closed in positive territory when all the major indices were in the red.
- APC finished down to $77.69, -0.54 (-0.69%)
- BG finished up to $122.40, +0.47 (+0.39%)
- LTR finished up to $48.95, +0.45 (+0.93%)
- PDS finished up to $26.95, +0.49 (+1.85%)
- POT finished up to $223.10 +2.54 (+1.15%)
Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of APC and PDS.
Posted Jun 2nd 2008 1:01PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Reliance Steel and Aluminum (RS), Valero Energy (VLO), Huaneng Power Intl ADS (HNP), Chasing Value, Anglo American (AAUKY), Stocks to Buy, Newcastle Investment (NCT), Raytheon Company (RTN), Best Stocks for 2008, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Loews Corporation (L)
After five months of tracking my 2008 picks, it is rewarding to finally have a breakthrough -- topping the three major stock indices and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) too. It has been painful to have to report each month that I was being bested. However, since I have not seen anything contradicting my original rationale for my eight picks I stood my ground.
This past month saw great improvement. For the first time since I posted the original story Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008, five of the eight stocks are up:
Moving into positive territory by pennies was Loews Corporation (NYSE: LTR). Among its holdings is a 51% stake in Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. (NYSE: DO) that has been doing well as the world remains desperate for more oil and natural gas.
Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) was the other stock to cross the line into the black, while Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO), although improving, remains my worst performer. It is still down almost 28% after five months.
The gap between the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard & Poor's 500 Index and the technology heavy NASDAQ Composite Index narrowed substantially so that the three are tracking each other very closely. Stocks like Apple, Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) continue to gain significantly and their outlooks have not been shaken amid overall pessimistic economic forecasts.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 8 stocks for 2008 -- May beats all
Posted May 27th 2008 7:05PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Other issues, Rants and raves, Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Duke Energy (DUK), Politics, Presidential elections, General Dynamics Corp (GD), Southern Company (SO), Raytheon Company (RTN), Bunge Ltd. (BG), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)
I have not decided who I am voting for yet. Or maybe it would be more accurate to say I have decided on multiple occasions only to become undecided again. While some will see me as fickle, or worse, others may be in the same boat.
I am also continuing to think about what difference any of the candidates can make on the economy, and based on these musings, where to invest. My current belief is that none of them will have a profound impact on our economy.
There are no financial wizards among them. Here is the shocker though: I like all three candidates, or at least can find some good in each of them. Each of them is a fighter, and I believe each one of them brings certain skill sets to the job. There are also things about each candidate that are inescapably negative. Clinton has so much baggage, Zsa Zsa Gabor would be jealous. Obama does not have the experience and he has a degree of arrogance (right sweetie); McCain is an old stick-in-the-mud who, as a long-time senator, has spent more hours with lobbyists than almost anybody, though he is pretending otherwise.
Where does this leave me from an investment perspective? My first choice, for stability with moderate growth and dividends, remains the defense sector. I wrote Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year a while back and I still think that it is the most secure. Here's why:
A) None of the candidates will want to appear soft on defense when we are at war, and all three have made threatening remarks in some country's direction to make sure the electorate knows that.
B) The War in Afghanistan and Iraq rages on, and even the most optimist view is that a draw-down will take years.
C) Even if all war ceased immediately, the upgrading and replenishment of the hardware will cost billions of dollars and most of the defense contractors have that in their backlogs now. Chasing Value: General Dynamics & Raytheon -- The defense does not rest
Continue reading Investing in Everyone: Defense, Food, Power, Clinton, Obama, and McCain
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